A-105 '! Wien Schwarzhirngasse 10/17 s ept 9, 1981 Dear Amit, Thank y u fir y >ur letter and for your manuscript m stagflation Let me comment briefly on the manuscript. Everything rests on y-Ur crucial assumption ( n page 2, bottom ) that firms are nit well informed abiut the wages movements in other firms, 1. ) I cannot believe this assumption is realistic , independently of which conntry itis. The c'llective agreements are not secret} information on the wages the competitors pay is eagerly sought and in fact obtained by managers; they are in many cases in touch about these problems, and if the monopsony does not work any more theycan easily spy at each other; the shifting odf labour from plant to plant makes it easy to obtain information. , 2. ) The assumption that firms know that their competitors are subject to similar wage increases as they themselves is the sufficient assumption for the Keynes- Kalecki c inclusion that they will shift the cist increase°?o prices, without knowing r thinking anything about macr ecmimic links f wages t c nsumpti n demand 3) I may be prejudiced because I adhere to the Kalecki-Keynes esplanati n and I appr ach the stagflation fr m another angle: I think t e restriction if demand ( y fiscal and m netary p licy- ) reduces pr ductivity n t nly its level but als1 its rate f growth; if workers and uni ms do n t reduce their real wage target corresp ndingly then wage c st rise this will be shifted to prices and via C'st f living again ti wages ect There are if cause many other fortuitous details *’ir example the sec nd Opec price rise in 79 and subsequently has pr b&bly affected aggregate demand as well as prices and therefor acted stagflationistically. What you need to explain stagflation is only to remove the prejudices wh : ch, make it,seem unnatural, which it is not; and to show why it have ed should accur in our times and not earlier ( presumably because workers and unions are more resistant to unemployment ). I just returned from Trieste; I suppose Krishna will tell you all about it. I gave the paper on monetarism. ^ am eagerly expecting your own paper on the subject- I hope you will soon send it because the subject has become very topical.See the left-labour memorandum by ^’rancis Cripps et alia which clearly touched this point.