Trend - Problems

Steindl, Josef; Bhaduri, Amit

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Document type:: Works

Collection:: Josef Steindl Collection

Title:: Trend - Problems

Author:: Steindl, Josef Bhaduri, Amit

Scope:: Konvolut aus Typoskript "Trend - Problems", mit handschriftlichen Korrekturen, 6 Seiten sowie einer Kopie dieses Typoskripts mit einem Kommentar von Amit Bhaduri auf Seite 1, Konvolut insgesamt 12 Seiten

Year of publication:: ohne Datum

Language:: English

Description:: Kalecki, trend, cycle, technological change, oligopoly.

Note:: Entstehungszeitraum vermutlich vor 1988. - Unveröffentlichtes Typoskript.

Related work:: Steindl, Josef: Trend and Cycle. In: Mott, Tracy und Shapiro, Nina (Hrsg.): Rethinking Capitalist Development. Essays on the Economics of Josef Steindl. New York: Routledge 2004, S. 164-173

Topic:: Growth,cycle and stagnation

JEL Classification:: E11 [General Aggregative Models: Marxian, Sraffian, Kaleckian] E32 [Business Fluctuations, Cycles] E37 [Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications]

Shelfmark:: S/M.18.2

Access:: Free access

A possible approach Let us take it that the trend is created by the emergence of new techniques which lead to innovative investment of the pioneers. Thus the series of such pioneering investments will be a relevant observation for the explanation of the trend. In the wake of each pioneer comes the diffusion of the new methods which accounts for the bulk of investment and which depends very much on economic factors as far as the timing and the speed of the diffusion is concerned. Since the technical progress leads to increasing productivity it must involve an increase in real wages ( if there is not to be a crises which blocks the diffusion). The consequence is that certain pride r methods will become unrenumerative and the plant and the firms which own them will be driven out of the market. Thus I have to insist on my original point ( in polemics with Kalecki ) that the (premature ) destruction of capcaity is an element which plays a role in the trend ( it works against the creation of overcapacity ). However I do now agree with Kalecki that the more important factor is the continuing creation pf new purchasing power by new innovations. I feel however that we need to have a mechanism which ensures that there is now excess capacity arising in order satisfactorily to explain the trend. I see such a mechanism in the competitive process wihich I described in Maturity and Stagnation. The pressure of competition by new entrants Cl/ and innovators Ipds to reduction of profit margins to such a level as will be compatible with a normal or aatisfactory utilisation of capacity.

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