Trend and Cycle

Steindl, Josef

Bibliographic data

Description

Document type:: Works

Collection:: Josef Steindl Collection

Title:: Trend and Cycle

Author:: Steindl, Josef

Scope:: Typoskript, Konvolut aus zwei Versionen von "Trend and Cycle", teilweise identisch, nummeriert, handschriftliche Anmerkungen und Notizen, 10 Blätter und 9 Blätter

Source material date:: [vermutlich um/vor 1988]

Publication date:: 1988

Language:: English

Description:: Trend, cycle, cycle problems, long run changes, utilisation, measurement of technical progress, technology and economic structure, excess capacity in the long run, Kalecki.

Note:: Versionen einer Reihe von Entwürfen zu "Trend and Cycle". Die letzte Version wurde post mortem veröffentlicht und vermutlich 1988 verfasst. - Beilage (63 Seiten): Industrial Output Section (Division of Research and Statistics): Capacity Utilization, Manufacturing, Mining, and Utlities and Industrial Materials January 1967-December 1984 with supplementary manufacturing data, January 1948-December 1966. Revised July 1985, Washington D.C.

Related work:: Steindl, Josef: Trend and Cycle. In: Mott, Tracy und Shapiro, Nina (Hrsg.): Rethinking Capitalist Development. Essays on the Economics of Josef Steindl. New York: Routledge 2004, S. 164-173

Topic:: Growth,cycle and stagnation

JEL Classification:: E11 [General Aggregative Models: Marxian, Sraffian, Kaleckian] E32 [Business Fluctuations, Cycles] E37 [Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications]

Shelfmark:: S/M.18.1

Access:: Free access

Full text

48 A. Manufacturing, mining, and utilities—Continued 
Total other (durables plus nondurables) 
Seasonally adjusted 
■ 
IB 
CAPACITT DTILIZATION 
JAN FEB BAB 
APB 
BAT 
JUNE 
JOLI 
AOG 
SEPT 
OCT 
■Of 
DEC 
Q 1 
Q 2 
Q 3 
PEBCENT 
ANN. 
Q 4 A¥G. 
40 
89.5 
88.1 
87.2 
87. 1 
86.7 
86.2 
86.8 
85.8 
84.5 
84.0 
82.5 
01.7 
88.3 
86.7 
85.7 
82.7 
85.8 
49 
79.7 
78.8 
79.6 
78.9 
78.6 
78.6 
78.3 
78.0 
79. 1 
78.9 
78.5 
79.2 
79.4 
78.7 
78.5 
78.9 
78.9 
50 
78.2 
79.7 
80.5 
81.6 
82.2 
83. 1 
84.5 
87.3 
86.8 
86.9 
85.9 
87.0 
79.4 
82.3 
86.2 
86.6 
83.6 
51 
87.7 
88.7 
88.6 
88.5 
87.3 
86.7 
85.5 
84.2 
83.8 
83.2 
84.9 
85.0 
88.4 
87.5 
84.5 
84.4 
86.2 
52 
85.4 
85.2 
84.9 
84.8 
84.8 
06.4 
87.0 
87.8 
88.8 
89.7 
90.8 
91.6 
85.2 
85.3 
87.9 
90.7 
87.3 
53 
91.2 
91.3 
91.8 
92. 1 
92.4 
92.0 
92. 1 
90.6 
89.0 
88.5 
86.1 
85.8 
91.4 
92.2 
90.6 
86.8 
90.2 
54 
85.4 
85.4 
85.3 
84.0 
83.4 
82.5 
81.8 
81.7 
82.8 
83.8 
84.9 
86. 1 
85.3 
83.3 
82. 1 
84.9 
83.9 
55 
85.9 
85.7 
86.6 
86.3 
07. 1 
87.2 
86.4 
85.9 
86.5 
87.0 
07.5 
88.1 
86.1 
86.9 
66.3 
87,5 
m- 
85.3 
86.7 
56 
88.0 
87.4 
86.0 
86.6 
85.8 
84.6 
85.0 
85.3 
85.2 
85.5 
85.0 
85.3 
87.1 
85.7 
85.2 
85.8 
57 
84.5 
85.8 
86.3 
85.4 
85.4 
85.9 
84.6 
85.1 
84.4 
82.5 
81.3 
80.3 
85.5 
85.6 
84.7 
61.4 
84.3 
58 
80.8 
80.6 
80.5 
79.9 
81.2 
82. 5 
83.4 
84.2 
84.9 
85.8 
87.0 
86.3 
80.6 
81.2 
84.1 
86.4 
83.1 
59 
88.0 
87.7 
87.3 
88.8 
89.6 
87.9 
89.4 
88.4 
88.5 
88.3 
88.8 
89.7 
87.6 
88.8 
88.8 
88.9 
88.5 
60 
89.9 
89.2 
88.9 
88.9 
89. 1 
88.2 
87.8 
86.3 
85. 1 
84.6 
83.3 
81.8 
89.3 
88.7 
86.4 
83.2 
86.9 
61 
82.0 
81.8 
81.7 
82.4 
81.9 
83.0 
83.6 
83.4 
83.3 
84.5 
85.9 
85.8 
81.9 
82.4 
83.4 
85.4 
83.3 
62 
84.6 
85.5 
86.0 
86. 1 
85.6 
85.4 
85.6 
85.7 
86.9 
85.3 
85.8 
85.2 
85.4 
85.7 
86. 1 
85.4 
85.6 
63 
85.6 
86.2 
85.9 
87.5 
87.4 
87. 4 
86.5 
88.6 
88.4 
88.4 
88.4 
87.6 
85.9 
87.4 
87.8 
88. 1 
87.3 
64 
87.8 
87.4 
87.3 
88.3 
88.8 
87.6 
88.5 
88.0 
87.4 
88.4 
89.0 
88.6 
87.5 
88.2 
88.0 
88.7 
88.1 
65 
89.7 
89.9 
90.5 
90. 1 
90.6 
91.0 
91.3 
90.9 
91.4 
91.5 
91.5 
92.1 
90.0 
90.6 
91.2 
91.7 
90.9 
66 
91.8 
92.2 
92.5 
92.5 
92.7 
92.6 
92.8 
91.6 
91.7 
92.0 
91.8 
92.0 
92.1 
92.6 
92.0 
91.9 
92.2 
■ 
IB 
OOTPOT 
JAN FEB 
BAB 
APB 
HAT 
JOBE 
JOLI 
AOG 
SEPT 
OCT 
NOT 
DEC 
Q 1 
Q 2 
INDEX, 1977 
Q 3 Q 4 
=' 100 
ANN. 
ATG. 
48 
43.3 
42.8 
42.6 
42.8 
42.8 
42.8 
43.3 
43.0 
42.6 
42.6 
42.0 
41.8 
42.9 
42.8 
43.0 
42.2 
42.7 
49 
41.0 
40.7 
41.2 
41.0 
41.0 
41.2 
41.2 
41.1 
41.9 
41.9 
41.6 
42.4 
41.0 
41. 1 
4 1.4 
42. 1 
41.4 
50 
42.0 
42.9 
43.5 
44.3 
44.7 
45.4 
46.3 
48.0 
47.9 
48. 1 
47.7 
40.5 
42.8 
44.8 
47.4 
48. 1 
45.8 
51 
49.0 
49.7 
49.8 
49.9 
49.3 
49.1 
48.5 
47.9 
47.8 
47.6 
48.7 
48.9 
49.5 
49.4 
48.1 
48.4 
48.9 
52 
49.3 
49.3 
49.2 
49.3 
49.4 
50.5 
51.0 
51.5 
52.3 
53.0 
53.7 
54.3 
49.3 
49.7 
51.6 
53.6 
51.0 
53 
54.2 
54.3 
54.8 
55. 1 
55.3 
55.2 
55.4 
54.6 
53.7 
53.5 
52.2 
52.1 
54.4 
55.2 
54.5 
52.6 
54.2 
54 
52.0 
52.1 
52.3 
51.7 
51.5 
51. 1 
50.9 
51.0 
51.8 
52.7 
53.6 
54.5 
52.1 
51.4 
51.2 
53.6 
52. 1 
55 
54.5 
54.6 
55.2 
55.2 
55.8 
56.0 
55.6 
55.4 
55.9 
56.4 
56.8 
57.4 
54.8 
55.7 
55.7 
56.9 
55.8 
56 
57.4 
57.2 
56.4 
56.9 
56.5 
55.9 
56.2 
56.6 
56.6 
57.0 
56.7 
57.0 
57.0 
56.4 
56.5 
56.9 
56.8 
57 
56.6 
57.6 
58.0 
57.6 
57.7 
58. 1 
57.3 
57.7 
57.3 
56.1 
55.4 
54.8 
57.4 
57.8 
57.5 
55.4 
57.1 
58 
55.2 
55.1 
55.2 
54.8 
55.8 
56.7 
57.4 
58.0 
58.5 
59.2 
60. 1 
59.7 
55.2 
55.7 
58.0 
59.7 
57.2 
59 
61.0 
60.8 
60.6 
61.8 
62.5 
61.4 
62.5 
61.9 
62.1 
62. 1 
62.5 
63.3 
60.8 
61.9 
62.2 
62.6 
61.9 
60 
63.6 
63.2 
63.2 
63.4 
63.8 
63.3 
63.2 
62.4 
61.6 
61.5 
60.7 
59.7 
63.3 
63.5 
62.4 
60.7 
62.5 
61 
60.1 
60.1 
60.1 
60.8 
60.5 
61. 4 
62.0 
62.0 
62. 1 
63. 1 
64.2 
64.3 
60. 1 
60.9 
62.0 
63.9 
61.8 
62 
63.6 
64.5 
65.0 
65.3 
65. 1 
65. 1 
65.5 
65.7 
66.8 
65.8 
66.4 
66.1 
64.3 
65.2 
66.0 
66. 1 
65.4 
63 
66.6 
67.2 
67.3 
68.7 
60.8 
69.0 
68.5 
70.3 
70.4 
70.6 
70.8 
70.3 
67.0 
68.8 
69.7 
70.5 
69.0 
64 
70.6 
70.5 
70.6 
71.7 
72.3 
71.5 
72.4 
72.2 
71.9 
73.0 
73.6 
73.6 
70.6 
71.8 
72.2 
73.4 
72.0 
65 
74.8 
75.3 
76.2 
76.2 
77.1 
77.8 
78.5 
78.5 
79.4 
79.9 
80.3 
81.2 
75.4 
77.0 
78.8 
80.5 
78.0 
66 
81.4 
82.2 
83.0 
83.5 
84.2 
84.5 
85.2 
84.6 
85.1 
85.9 
86.1 
86.8 
82.2 
84. 1 
85.0 
86.3 
84.4 
■ 
CAPACITT 
PEBCENT OF 1977 
OOTPUT 
ANN. 
IB 
JAN 
FEB 
BAB 
APB 
BAI 
JUNE 
JOLT 
AOG 
SEPT 
OCT 
NOT 
DEC 
Q 1 
Q 2 
Q 3 
Q 4 
ATG. 
48 
48.3 
48.6 
48.9 
49. 1 
49.4 
49.7 
49.9 
50.2 
50.4 
50.7 
51.0 
51.2 
48.6 
49.4 
50.2 
50.9 
49.8 
49 
51.4 
51.6 
51.8 
52.0 
52.2 
52.4 
52.6 
52.7 
52.9 
53. 1 
53.3 
53.5 
51.6 
52.2 
52.7 
53.3 
52.5 
50 
53.7 
53.9 
54.0 
54.2 
54.4 
54.6 
54.8 
55.0 
55.2 
55.4 
55.5 
55.7 
53.9 
54.4 
55.0 
55.5 
54.7 
51 
55.9 
56.0 
56.2 
56.3 
56.5 
56.6 
56.8 
56.9 
57. 1 
57.2 
57.4 
57.5 
56.0 
56.5 
56.9 
57.4 
56.7 
52 
57.7 
57.8 
58.0 
58.1 
58.3 
58. 4 
58.6 
58.7 
58.9 
59.0 
59.2 
59.3 
57.8 
58.3 
58.7 
59.2 
58.5 
53 
59.4 
59.6 
59.7 
59.8 
59.9 
60.0 
60.1 
60.2 
60.3 
60.4 
60.6 
60.7 
59.6 
59.9 
60.2 
60.6 
60. 1 
54 
60.9 
61. 1 
61.3 
61.5 
61.7 
62.0 
62.2 
62.4 
62.6 
62.9 
63. 1 
63.3 
61. 1 
61.7 
62.4 
63. 1 
62. 1 
55 
63.4 
63.6 
63.8 
63.9 
64. 1 
64.2 
64.4 
64.5 
64.7 
64.8 
65.0 
65. 1 
63.6 
64. 1 
64.5 
65.0 
64.3 
56 
65.3 
65.4 
65.6 
65.7 
65.9 
66.0 
66.2 
66.3 
66.5 
66.6 
66.0 
66.9 
65.4 
65.9 
66.3 
66.8 
66. 1 
57 
67.0 
67. 1 
67.3 
67.4 
67.5 
67.6 
67.7 
67.8 
67.9 
68.0 
68.2 
68.2 
67. 1 
67.5 
67.8 
68. 1 
67.6 
58 
68.3 
68.4 
68.5 
68.6 
68.7 
68.7 
68.8 
68.9 
69.0 
69.0 
69.1 
69.2 
68.4 
68.7 
68.9 
69. 1 
68.8 
59 
69.3 
69.4 
69.5 
69.6 
69.7 
69.8 
69.9 
70.1 
70.2 
70.3 
70.4 
70.6 
69.4 
69.7 
70.1 
70.4 
69.9 
60 
70.7 
70.9 
71.1 
71.3 
71.6 
71. 8 
72.0 
72.2 
72.5 
72.7 
72.9 
73.1 
70.9 
71.6 
72.2 
72.9 
71.9 
61 
73.3 
73.5 
73.6 
73.8 
73.9 
74. 1 
74.2 
74.3 
74.5 
74.6 
74.8 
75.0 
73.4 
73.9 
74.3 
74. 8 
74. 1 
62 
75.2 
75.4 
75.6 
75.8 
76.0 
76.2 
76.5 
76.7 
76.9 
77. 1 
77.4 
77.6 
75.4 
76.0 
76.7 
77.4 
76.4 
63 
77.8 
78.0 
78.3 
78.5 
70.7 
78.9 
79. 1 
79.4 
79.6 
79.8 
80.0 
80.3 
78.0 
78.7 
79.4 
80.0 
79.0 
64 
80.5 
80.7 
80.9 
81.2 
81.4 
81.6 
81.8 
82.1 
82.3 
82.5 
82.7 
83. 1 
80.7 
81.4 
82.1 
02.8 
81.7 
65 
83.4 
83.7 
84.2 
84.6 
85. 1 
85.5 
86.0 
86.4 
86.9 
87.3 
87.7 
88.2 
83.8 
85.1 
86.4 
87.8 
85.7 
66 
88.7 
09.2 
89.7 
90.2 
90.8 
91.3 
91.8 
92.3 
92.8 
93.4 
93.9 
94.4 
89.2 
90.8 
92.3 
93.9 
91.5

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