’’’""‘‘V*
/
£/
to believe in a long term posive feed-back effect of
accumulation ("slowly changing function of time determined
by past economic, social and technological developments" p175 )
He merely regarded these relations as too complicated to be^f
included di r-eo^-ly explicitly in the endogenous mechanism.
I think, however, that one should try to do it. Don't expect it
of me y fti *
To prevent misunderstandings I think the 1968 paper is very
important, even more perhapi for the business cyole theory
than for the trend.
5. I don't see a crisis of Keynesian or Kaleckian e conomics.
l'here is perhaps a crises of a^ policy concept, of the growth
optimism represented for example by a oWow. A high rate of growth
apparently solved the social problems and prevented the
return of the conditions of the 193o'ies. The difference between
Harrod^ warranted rate of growth and the actual one was eliminated
by increasing the latter. The growth dnd high employment
brought very difficult problems: Migrations ( the n|gros in U.S.,
the foreign workers in ^urope), Urbanisation, energy and
raw materials, the environment, demands by the workers for
participation and generally increased pressure from below,
the unrest of the intellectuals and students, and inflation.
JtxxxaxiansKBiHeHKK of all that , the powers that be in U.S. have
turned their backs on growth and begun to practice a conscious
policy of stagnation, tn Germany they have apparently their
emulators. But here, may be , the reduction of the growth rate
enforced V the decreasing infl^D of foreign workers has also
been a source of difficulties. The chances are that we are in for
a new era of stagnation.
Naturally neither Kalecki nor Keynes could deal in detail
with problems before they had in fact arisen. But the direct
causes of unemployment and stagnation are to-day just the same asbeford
Yours
With kind regards
^ru. Y