methods.Another influence can come from the side of labour. If the
price of the product is constrained by foreign competition in an
open market the mark-up may be subjected to squeezing by the
action of unions or by scarcity of labour.
The danger of appearance of excess capacity which we assume is
almost always threatening accumulation arises generally the fact
that technical progress tends to increase the mark-up and
therefore shifts distribution in favour of profits. This at the
same time tends to create excess capacity .
The relation between a "normal" mark-up and a ’’normal” long run
capacity utilisation which will be underlying the argument can be
described as follows: It is supposed that with a normal
(customary) long run utilisation the mark-up has to be just large
enough to yield a profit rate (or rather rate of retained profits)
which is sufficient to finance the given growth rate, taking into
account borrowingj^to an extent which will not change the existing
relative indebtedness. There is thus a ’’warranted” rate of
retained profits which in turn is determined by a given growth
rate - that is the rate of growth which has been ruling so far and
which gives rise to the question whether it can continue and under
which conditions its continuation is either assured or endangered.
If the "natural” tendency of the system to produce a shift
towards profits is counteracted by aggressive competition then
there will be two results:
There will be an increase in the real wage and the consequence
will be that a certain number of producers - those with the most
outdated methods and equipment - will be eliminated. This will be
a factor which contributes,to the reduction in overcapacity.
Second, owing to the shift to labour the effective demand will
increase and that should in principle be a strong force making for
the reestablishment of "normal” rates of utilisation. The second
factor may be considered the major one,but the first factor will
have a considerable role to play in the structural changes due to
the maturity of old industries.
The result of these considerations seems to indicate not only that
distribution is the element which accounts for the difference in
behaviour in short and long run, but also that the continuation of
the growth process depends essentially on the action of certain
correctives to the tendency of technical progress which tends to
shift income towards profits; correctives,either in form of
aggressive competition or in form of pressure from labour (in an
open economy) will be necessary in order to prevent the appearance
of continuing overcapacity which would frustrate the further
accumulation. Thus distribution turns out to be a most important
element in the explanation of the normal growth process.
This does not mean that the essential role of the exogenous factor
as it was described before,is in any way modified.