3 x
are nearly the same as the old estimates, the growth
rate of 2.9 percent for the period since 1979 is about
0.5 percentage point higher than was previously es
timated.
The downward revision of utilization is centered in
durable manufacturing. The 1967-84 average utiliza
tion rate for durable manufacturing is 1.3 percentage
points below the rate shown previously and the De
cember 1984 rate for this group is down 2.7 percentage
points. Within durable manufacturing, utilization rates
were found to be substantially lower in December 1984
for producers of motor vehicles and parts and machin
ery, especially electrical machinery. The utilization rate
for the latter series was revised downward nearly 11
percentage points in December 1984. Capacity growth
in this industry, which includes the fast growing semi
conductor and communications equipment industries,
had been substantially underestimated for the 1981-84
period.
Within manufacturing, the downward revisions of
the operating rates for motor vehicles and machinery
were accompanied by smaller downward revisions in
the December 1984 rates for plants producing rubber
and plastics products, paper and products, and textile
mill products. The downward revisions of those series
were offset to a considerable extent by upward revi
sions of other series. In December 1984, the rates for
producers of both chemicals and products and petrole
um products were revised upward more than 5 percent
age points. Overall the revisions reduced the dispersion
of rates among industries. Rates that were high in
1984 have been revised downward, and some that were
relatively low have been revised upward.
Outside manufacturing, the utilization rate for min
ing has been revised upward substantially. In part, this
reflects the larger weight given crude oil extraction
(primarily pumping, rather than drilling) with the in
troduction of 1977 weights. Also, the mining series
have been reconstructed for the whole period begin
ning in 1967. In contrast to mining, the rates for utili
ties have been revised only slightly.
The utilization rate for industrial materials was re
vised upward by 0.9 percentage point in December
1984 to 81.3 percent in large part because of the up
ward revisions in mining and chemical materials. The
rate for materials in late 1984 was very close to the to
tal industry rate, and remained below its 1967-84 aver
age (chart 2).
Capacity utilization, output, and capacity data for
the years 1967-84 are included in the tables contained
in this supplement. Also, rebased manufacturing data
for the 1948-66 period are included even though utili
zation rates have not been revised for the period be
fore 1967. Copies of the statistical release and this
supplement are available* from Publications Services,
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System,
Washington, D.C. 20551. The basic methods used in
this revision are described in a booklet, Federal Re
serve Measures of Capacity and Capacity Utilization
(Board of Governors, February 1978). More up-to-date
information may be found in an article “Revised Fed
eral Reserve Measures of Capacity and Capacity Utili
zation,” by Richard D. Raddock scheduled to appear
in the Federal Reserve Bulletin this fall.
2. Capacity utilization rates—revised and previous
1967 1970 1975 1980 1984
Percent