2
CAPITAL GAINS ,PENSION FUNDS AND THE LOW SAVING RATIO IN THE
UNITED STATES.*)
I
Not long ago the question of the quality and reliability of
statistical data has received attention in wide circles in the
United States. The following paper deals not with the quality but
rather with the interpretation of statistics which may often be
difficult for the general public but which economists should be
competent to undertake.
The decline of the personal saving ratio to very unusually low
levels in the 80s in U.S. has worried some economists there.The
following is to contribute something to the explanation of the low
saving ratio.
A considerable part of the household saving takes the form of
contributions of employers to the pension funds and of premium
payments of employees to life insurance companies . From the point
of view of effective demand this should,in general, make no
difference.lt is in any case saving,invested in financial
assets,only the household does not have full and direct control
over it all the time. From a statistical point of view,however,a
few complications arise.The U.S. National Income and Product
Accounts (briefly NIPA) as well as the Flow of Funds (FF) of the
Federal Reserve credit the assets of the pension funds as a whole
as well as the policy reserves of the life insurance companies to
the households. The implication is that the funds do not make any
* Acknowledgement is made to The Macmillan Rubbishing"Co. for
permission to reproduce the first part of this paper from the
author's ECONOMIC PAPERS 1941 - 1988, London 1990.