12
III
After so much statistics a word on economic policy. There has been
a system of national old age insurance even before there existed
pension funds. Its principle has been that the active people
support the retired old ones ( pay as you go ). This is in fact as
it always has been, and as,in essence, it must be under any
system; but it was made into a national institution with fixed
contributions by employees and their employers and settled
benefits for the retirees. If there is a short term gap the
government directly or indirectly has to fill it. In the long run
any imbalance has to be dealt with by changing either
contributions or benefits. Thus the pensions are financed by a
shift of income from one part of the population to the other and
time does not enter in any relevant sense. The old peoples bread
is not accumulated for them over a life time, it is delivered to
them fresh from the baker. There is no capital and no interest.
(Since the Social Security Law 1983 which changed from pay as you
go to accumulation this is not true any more and there is a yearly
excess of security taxes over benefits, in 1989 $ 52 billion) Why
has it been necessary to supplement this system by another one
with 2.6 trillion dollar financial assets ( one and a half for the
private pension funds alone ) which has had a profound influence
on the whole economy?
While the accumulation has been going on, in the build up period,
there had to be a corresponding amount of saving which has been at
the expense of consumption. The effect of this has been described
in my earlier paper on household saving (1982). It depressed the
national product and in this way produced the budget deficits
which indirectly were financed by the pension funds. This effect