10
But could there not be very strong effects on the flows? The value
of urban land has tremendously increased in the course of time,
and much of that gain has been realised when the land has changed
hands. No doubt the capital gains have had their effect on
distribution, on consumption and on investment and these effects
as such are seen in the national accounts but the way in which
they have come about is shrouded in obscurity. Is that a
satisfactory state of affairs?
The idea that the transactions in land etc can simply be left out
of account meets with objections. The seller has experienced an
increase in wealth unless he consumes the gain from the sale. That
clearly brings him interest or profit and thus affects the
distribution of income. A saving has been produced to the extent
of the capital gain and the quasi-investment which has created it
is the corresponding spending of the buyer. We may call it a
quasi-investment in the same way as the budget deficit because
each creates automatically the corresponding saving to finance
itself. They ressemble investment from the point of view of
creation of effective demand even though they do not represent
material wealth but only claims which command renumeration in the
form of interest This increase in nominal wealth is brought about
by spending of the buyer (of land etc ), in most cases financed by
bank credits.
Unlike the buyer who pays just one lump sum the seller can
distinguish how much of what he receives is maintenance of his
/ \ A
wealth and how much is income.
But what happens if the capital gains are spent on consumption?
This is an even more spectacular case of the effects of capital
gains. Since this consumption has not been created in the normal
circuit of income-cost-income,it is an active variable as it were