3
What is the importance of the realised capital gains for
the household saving? If the gains are made by households
which hold shares directly or which get capital gains
dividends from investment funds ,and if they spend these
gains on consumption, then the result will be a reduction
of household saving as measured by NIPA, which is
spurious,because the saving propensities have not changed -
as much is saved as before and the additional consumption
is financed out of the capital gains. It is very difficult
to estimate even approximately how much spurious reduction
in saving may have been caused by realised capital gains of
households. A large part of share capital is held by
households directly or indirectly (although some of it has
been shifted to the pension funds in the course of time),
but the holding,direct and via investment funds,is highly
concentrated,so that only a fairly small proportion of the
gains can have been consumed.Nevertheless it is possible
that the saving rate has been reduced by something like a
third to one half of a percentage point on account of
realised capital gains of households.
Quite apart from realised gains the mere fact of the stock
exchange boom has led to an appreciation of the assets of
pension funds which in itself has led to considerable
overfunding. This has led to an absolute and relative
reduction in the contributions to the funds. Tne policy of
the funds is to aim at a certain target investment which
enables them to meet the pension claims. They are
constrained by law to reduce their contributions if there
is overfunding and the provisions have been made more