6
personal saving (Table 6).The discrepancy between gross and
net saving rate did not increase any further since 1980 but
if we add to the grosss saving ratios the correction of
about 2 to 2.5 p.c.mentioned further above it appears that
the dramatic decline of the saving rate becomes a rather
less impressive experience.We may still ask ourselves
whether the decline in net saving which still remains after
the corrections is not due to an increased inclination of
households to indebt themselves . To get a measure of
households' indebtedness I have expressed the increment of
liabilities in p.c. of the increment in assets of
households as given by the flow of funds (Table 5).It is
not very clear whether there is any long term trend. What
the figures impress on us most definitely is the fact that
indebtedness declines sharply in recession and increases in
the boom:Thus from a low in 1981 and 1982 it rose to high
levels in 1985 and 1986. The net saving therefore is high
in the recession - the figures for 1974 and 1975 are not a
good basis for comparison with the present - and it is low
in the boom such as 1985 and 86. This cyclical pattern,due
to the increased importance of consumer durables and debt
which behave rather like business investment,has been
stressed in -this, paper.
If we add the gross saving rate (from table 6) to the
borrowing of households (line 8 of table 5) to obtain the
saving rate gross of new debt we find that this shows a
pro-cyclical pattern. Should we add the 2 to 2.5 p.c.
underestimate earlier mentioned to the figures for the
latest years we would find no negative trend in this gross