4
enormous growth in international trade, due in part to
the reduction in barriers, which necessited a new
industrial structure in various countries. But there
are also other reasons: The saturation of the car markets,
and changing attitude to the car.
One is reminded here of theories of long wave based on
certain technological developments (see C. Freeman) in
which big industries rise and mature one after another,
leaving a depression phase in between. (Railway -
Motorcar).
III. I shall now refer to changes in distribution which have
arisen from the situation in the labour markets.
In Maturity & Stagnation I tried to construct an ex
planation of distribution in the long run which is
roughly based on the following idea: The rate of growth,
determining the (relative) amount of investment as it
does limits the rate of profit (Kalecki, v.Neumann).
This is obvious if all saving comes out of profit, but
it will still be true if we introduce "workers saving",
perhaps as a proportion of disposable income, but
"marginally" always smaller than business saving. In
the short run the adjustment of profits happens only via
the degree of utilization; but in the long run there is