4
I
It appears that under the new assumptions there may, but there
need not be a convergence of the debt/income ratio. It depends on
whether g>i or g<io( . Thus if the interest and differential
saving propensity—are high enough in relation to the growth rate
of the national income (which depends on growth of productivity)
then the debt will steadily rise in proportion to income. ( It
should be mentioned that even in the opposite case the convergence
will probably be very slow so that the stable solution is probably
of little practical relevance.) This implies that the "rentiers”
income will rise in relation to the other (the "productive")
incomes and their consumption will rise in relation to the total
consumption. W,
It will be noted that I have treated the public debt problem as a
question of maintaining and stabilising effective demand rather
than as a question of taxation and of balancing the budget. This
is the proper approach from a Keynesian point of view: Taxes serve
to limit effective demand to the required level and not
necessarily to balance the budget. As is well known a balanced
budget may be restrictive or expansive in terms of effective
demand as the case may be - it depends entirely on the savings
propensities of the tax payers on the one hand and the receivers
of the public spending on the other.
In the preceding model the interest on the public debt was paid
out of taxes introduced expressly for that purpose. It would not
require much change if it were instead assumed that the interest
is paid out of a reduction in spending say, for example on social
services. We have,however, also to consider the case where
interest is paid out of new borrowing. This, in fact, is possible
only if there are still unused resources unless there is to be a
demand inflation (rising prices and profit margins) because the