272 -
satisfied, with a plausible value of (T , ify^ ^da^/V ^ is of
the order of 1. ,
Does t4e inequality (49) hold in reality? Strictly
/ / / / / /
speaking the answer is, of course, that we do not know. We
M Jr- Jr / . Jr f Jr
shall only know, when the dependence of the reinvestment factor
on utilisation is tested empirically, for example by comparing
/ jT / / / /
the reinvestment of different firms with different degrees of
utilisation^/ In the meantime we can only diidge its plausibility.
/ W / / / / / /
What the condition comes to is very roughly this: if utilisation
/ / / / X X
declines by 0.01, the entrepreneurs will cut their investment
by rather more than 1% below the level ,which it would have had
iout the decline in utilisation. />nce we accent the idea
/6f an influence/of utilisation on ^vestment aVall, there is
nothing particularly extravagant An the quantitative condition.
The importance of the hypothesis rests in its application
/ // ^ —
to the problem of maturity. With it we are able to explain Titty
the growth rate of a capitalist economy, like the American one,
/
begins to decline from a very high level at a certain stage,
f /
d we are able to explain it not as the result of fortuitous
ircumstances, but as the outcome of a quasi ’’natural” develop-
ent of the system. The endogenous explanation thus given
is in fact a form of the under-consumption theory. It runs
* • •
A tendency for profit marginq-to rise exists probably v'•
< —' ' 1 " m
always in capitalism. Equally well, the discouraging effect of
a fall in utilisation is probably always present, and of
sufficient quantitative importance. But as long as competition
- in the sense in which it is understood in this book - is
strong, the rise in profit-margins and the concomitant full in
utilisation will quickly bring about a competitive struggle
which will result in elimination of capital and reduce the
profit margins again. ^ The brake on the growth of the system
i£suxj?i /ce-o fcr*-c> ^ c^Zj C. ca^