10.
diversified hierarchical structures designed to save communication lines and
to loss in efficiency.
The computer is a great help in improving communication, and, therefore,
it is a boon to the very big firms.
To return for a moment to the discussion of capital-intensity: It is
also connected with the question of the "correct 11 measure of size of an estab
lishment or firm. I have shown in another place ^ that the pattern of relation
of size and output per man is quite different according to whether size is
measured by output or employment. (In the first case a monotonous increasing
relation obtains, whereas in the second case the output per head first increases,
then falls with size). I also showed that the difference between the two patterns
is due to the stochastic character of the data - the dispersions of the individual
values of output per head round the average.
What the "correct 11 measure of size is cannot be decided by statistical
arguments. We are free to choose our definitions on grounds of convenience of
language, and simplicity of description. On these grounds 1 choose the criterion
of output capacity; the relations of technical progress, capital-intensity and
scale which were pictured earlier on could not in principle be changed by a
different terminology but they would become unnecessary complicated because the
size of plant in terms of manpower historically first increases, and then in the
age of automation decreases. If one chose men per plant as the criterion of size,
(2)
as Mr. Johnstone proposed, the automated plants would count as small (or
lower medium) sized, and output per man would accordingly have a maximum at this
level. I cannot find anything enlightening in this use of language, but it does
in itself, of course, not contradict my picture of the relations of technical
progress and scale, which requires in any case a description of the plant in
terms of several variables (man, output, capital).
1 turn now to a point on which I would like to correct myself again:
Just as I was wrong to play down diseconomies I was too unfavourable on the
chances of the small firms, although my remarks on their shrinking degree of
Maturity and Stagnation in American Capitalism, Chapter IV, Oxford 1952.
(2)
J. Johnstone, Statistical Cost Analysis, London 1960.