Danger in the Eurocurrency markets
0
1967 *68 '69 ’70 *71
6/74
250
Deposit growth
has been dramatic.
“Eurobank” deposits
... but many banks borrow
short and lend long
100
Other currencies
4. Billions of U.S. dollars
4
Billions of dollars
I
Data: Bank for International Settlements, BW est. Data: Eank of Fngland
Banks put a lid
on petrodollars
Data: Bank of England; BW est.
The worrisome build-up in Eurocredits
■ ■ ■
... and some big borrowers
Publicly-announced medium and long-term loans since 1970
Billions of U.S. dollars
I
Billions of U.S. dollars
Borrowers by areas
1970
1971
1972
1973
9/74
I Industrial countries
Developing countries
Industrial nations
. $4.2 . .
. $6.8 . . . .$10.4
. . .$22.7 . .
..$38.8
I Italy
. . .$9.7
Mexico ....
..$2.7 ‘
Non-OPEC developing countries.
. 0.3 . .
. . 1.3 ....
3.1
... 8.7 . .
. . 13.8
Britain . . .
. .. 8.9
Brazil
. . 2.5
OPEC countries
. 0.1 ..
. . 0.5 ....
1.4
. . . . 4.4 . .
.. 4.9
France ...
. . . 3.3
Greece ....
... 1.4
Communist countries
. 0
. . 0.1 ....
0.6 .
... 1.4 . .
.. 3.0
Spain ....
. . . 2.0
Peru
. . 1.1
Total
. 4.7 .
. . 8.7 ....
15.5
. ... 37.1 ..
, 60.5
Denmark .
. .. 0.8
Yugoslavia .
Philippines .
. . 1.1
.. 1.0
Data: Morgan Guaranty Trust Co.
Argentina . .
. . 0.8
Selected Commodities of Which 20 Percent or More of U.S. Requirements Are
Currently Supplied by Imports or Likely to Be Supplied by Imports by 1980
Projected rate
Net imports
Over one-third U.S.
Over one-half U.S.
of growth of
as percent
Major sources of U.S.
imports from
imports from
U.S. demand
of domestic
Commodity
imports in 1972
developing countries
developing countries
(percent)
use in 1970
Bauxite-alumina
Jamaica , Surinam,
Canada, Australia
X
X
7
86
Chromium
South Africa, USSR,
Turkey
X
5
100
Cobalt
Zaire, Zambia,
Norway, Finland
X
X
2
96
Copper
Canada, Peru, Chile
X
X
4-5
8
Iron oro
Canada, Venezuela
X
1.5-2.5
30
Lead
Canada, Australia,
Peru, Mexico
X
1.6
40
Manganese
Brazil, Gabon, South
Africa, Zaire
X
X
3
94
Nickel
Canada, Norway
3
91
Potash
Canada
4
42
Sulfur
Canada, Mexico
4
0
Tin
Malaysia, Thailand,
Bolivia
X
X
4
71
Tungsten
Canada, Bolivia, Peru,
Australia, Thailand
X
8
60
Zinc
Canada, Mexico, Peru
3
59
Source: Mining atul Minerals Policy (Second Annual Report of the Secretary of the Interior Under the Mining and Minerals Policy Act
of 1970), 1973; and Material Needs and the Environment, Today and Tomorrow, National Commission on Materials Policy, 1973.