%jMall Street
August 24, 1 974 / William G. Shepherd, Editor
The ‘hidden’ corporate debt
The 20-month bear market has eaten so deeply into
pension portfolios that it is beginning to pose a
serious threat to corporate profits. As pension as
sets decline, companies are faced with making
larger and larger contributions out of pretax earn
ings. Meantime, vested benefits—dollars that long
standing employees have a claim to—keep rising.
Some plans have already grown larger than their
sponsor companies. And new legislation that’s due
to pass Congress any day will increase vested ben
efits further, as well as make companies legally
liable for more of those benefits.
That’s a blow, because $30-billion or more of the
money isn’t there. The gap doesn’t represent cor
porate negligence so much as promises that com
panies haven’t yet had time to fulfill. When a pen
sion plan is installed, or benefits are improved, the
terms usually apply retroactively to cover employ
ees’ previous service. This produces instant, large
“past service” liabilities for the company—deferred
wages that can be amortized over long periods,
usually 30 years.
But pension liability shows up only in footnotes in
annual reports, not on balance sheets, so it repre
sents a kind of “hidden debt.” The stock and bond
market declines have just made matters worse.
Scores of companies are deeply in hock to their
pension plans. For some, the debt is so enormous it
could impede their profitability, growth, and borrow
ing power for years to come.
Though pension liability promises to be a hot
topic in investment circles, investors so far have
little hard information to go on. As a simple rule,
“companies that are fully funded,” says Robert S.
Driscoll of Lord, Abbett & Co., which manages Affil
iated and other mutual funds, "are going to be more
r
Unfunded pension liabilities: How big are they getting?
i : ■
These examples show how much pension assets fell short of
vested benefits last year, a debt that doesn’t appear on
corporate balance sheets. “Percent of book value” reflects how
much common shareholders would lose in equity if
pension liability were capitalized. “Multiple of
pretax profits” suggests how many years of a company’s
earning power it would take to make up the deficit. To adjust a
bit for cyclical swings and inventory profits, business week
used a three-year average of pretax profits.
Owed to
pension
Per share
Percent
of book
Multiple of
1971-73
average
pretax
fund
of common
vaiuo
profits
ACF Industries
(millions
of dollars)'
. . .$48.2. ‘
....$3.57.
23.8%
1.3
Allegheny Ludlum .
. .. 76.0..
.. . .16.02.
50.7
2.5
Allis-Chalmers ....
. .. 93.0..
.... 8.78.
26.8
5.4
Ambac Industries ..
. .. 15.1..
.... 3.60.
27.1
1.6
Am cord
. . . 10.0..
.... 1.76.
16.1
1.5
American Brands ..
...101.5..
.... 3.96..
21.6
0.4
American Can .....
...278.0..
....15.66. .
....42.7
2.5
American Motors ...
. .. 80.0..
.... 2.95..
23.8
2.0
American Standard
... 79.3.;
.... 6.52..
67.9
1.9
Anchor Hocking ...
. .. 64.5..
.... 9.35.,
.....37.8
1.7
Armco Steel
...139.5..
.... 4.77..
14.2
1.1
Beech Aircraft ....
. .. 13.4..
.... 1.93..
24.2
1.0
Bendix
. . .116.8. .
.... 9.15..
29.9
1.4
Bethlehem Steel . .
. . .758.0. .
....17.44.
33.8
3.0
Boeing
. . . 93 0..
. . . . 4.39.
10.4
3.0
Hwdd
. . . 70.0. .
.. . .11.52.
38.7
2.6
Canadian Pacific • •
. . 510.0..
.... 7.12.
28.9
3.2
Chrysler
. . .583.0..
. . . .10.34.
21.0
1.6
Consolidated Edison
. .207.0..
. . . . 3.36.
10.8
1.6
Crane
. . . 97.Q..
. . . .18.99.
55.7
4.4
Curtiss-Wright ....
. . . 34.5. .
. . .. 3.95. .
....22.3 .
2.9
Eltra
. .. 61.1..
.. . . 8.12. .
....24.6 .
1.3
Owed to
pension
Per share
Percent
of book
Multiple of
1971-73
average
pretax
fund
of common
value
profits
(millions
of dollars)
Fairchild Industries ...$28.8..
.. . .$6.33. .
... .60.7%
1.9
Ford Motor
.680.0..
.... 6.88..
....11.1
0.5
General Motors
.800.0..
. . .. 2.80. .
.... 6.6
0.2
B. F. Goodrich
. 60.3..
.... 4,22...
.... 9.2
0.7
Goodyear Tire &
Rubber
.... 3.39..
. . ..14.5
0.7
Greyhound
. 91.0..
.... 2.16..
....26.0
0.7
Inland Container
.17.8..
.... 6.01..
....21,2
1.7
Interlake
. 40.0..
....10.72..
....19.7
1.3
International Harvester.229.0..
.... 8.24..
....17.8 v
2.0
International Paper ..
.128.2. .
.... 2.91..
....11.4
0.8
Jones &. Laughiin Steel
.191.0..
....12.01 ..
,...26.9
3.8
Keystone Consolidated
Industries
. 40.0..
....21.29..
....42.3
10.6
Lockheed Aircraft ...
.138.0..
... .12.15. .
....48.7
5.7
Lukens Steef
. 34.3..
.,..13.37...
...36.6 .
8.6
Marquette Cement Mfg.
. 17.5..
.... 5.23. .
. ...18.2 .
4.9
Midland-Ross
. 27.6.;
.... 4.88..
....21.6
1.7
Mohawk Rubber
. 8.8..
.... 8.07...
....34.1 .
1.5
National Steel
.218.0..
....11.79..
....204 ,
1.9
Raybestos-Manhattan
. 20.2..
....14,91...
...32.7 .
2.3
Remington Arms ....
. 38.0..
.... 5.37...
...37.9 .
2.2
Republic Steel
.346.0..
... .21.39. . .
...31.3 .
5.3
Richardson
. 6.9..
.... 4.36. . .
...297 .
1.0
A. O. Smith
. 31.0..
.... 6.29...
...18.0
1.3
Unlroyal
.421.0. .
.. . .15.85 . .
...78.2 .
5.6
Western Union
.228.0. .
. . . .16.61 . . .
...41.3 .
7.6
Westlnghouse Electric
.431.0. .
. . . . 4.90...
...24.3 .
1.3
Wheeling-Pittsburgh
Steel
.186.0..
....50.93...
...642 .
....10.7
White Motor
. 75.0..
.... 9.11...
...33.2 .
3.8
Youngstown Steel Door 6.2..
.... 4.81. ..
...28.5 .
3.4
Data: Arnold Bernhard & Co.; Investors Management Sciences; business week
46 BUSINESS WfctK: August 24, 1974
WAl L STREET