represented only the consumption goods department. Extending the
analysis now to the capital goods sector we can see that I/v will
have to increase as a consequence of the rise in real wages. If
money wages increase this will affect also the capital goods
sector; the prices there will be marked up and I will increase.
If, in the alternative case, the prices in the consumption goods
sector decrease this will depress v and in this way again lead to
an increase of I/v.
Thus the rate of profit in the consumption goods sector will
decline for two reasons: The profit margin will decline and the
capital-output ratio will increase:
e = (1 - F )j$
If the real wage ( w/p ) increases just so much as to compensate
for the decline in real cost ( m/z ) we are back in the situation
from which we started, as far as the cost-value ratio (c/v = F) is
concerned: In fact, the increase in "real wage", as we have seen,
will increase the capital-output ratio; this could be avoided only
if the "real cost" of the production of capital goods has been
reduced to a corresponding extent by technical progress in this
sector.
Even that,however, would not be sufficient to restore the profit
rate to its former level if the capital-capacity ratio had been
increased in the process of technical change in the consumption
goods department. In fact, it will be realised that a policy of
constant"efficiency wage”, that is, of compensating reductions in
"real cost" by corresponding increases in real wages is not
compatible with an increase in the capital-capacity ratio. But
we have hardly heard of that problem in the decades of full
employment when something like efficiency wage policy was often
practiced, and this seems to confirm the opinion expressed further
above that an increase in the capital-capacity ratio can hardly
have played a role in that time.
If technical progress in the capital goods sector has not kept
pace with its advance in the consumption goods department there
will be a fall in the rate of profit in the latter department, and
a brake on investment. This will produce a structural crisis in
the capital goods industries. Sooner or later this will enforce a
process of cheapening capital goods by introducing new more
efficient types of equipment as a condition for the survival of
this industry. In this way the process of innovating by investment
can be set in motion again in the consumption goods industries.
Thus there seems to be a race between cheapening of output (or of
labour) and the cheapening of equipment so that neither gets too
far ahead of the other which again tends to explain why the
capital-capacity ratio has not risen historically and why it does
not rise with the size of the firm.