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imports of higher quality are available the preference of
consumers for them may be so strong that the wage required to keep
the old sector competitive would be unacceptably low. It will
therefore be imperative to protect the old sector from foreign
competition in some form or other, perhaps by quotas, for as long
as the new sector is not ready to replace it as an employer of
labour and provider of goods. This may be necessary also for
considerations of balance of payments, especially in view of the
strong need for imports of new technology.
The protection of the old sector implies also that subsidies
hitherto given to it to keep it viable should not be quickly
removed. The policy of protection must of course be selective, for
example, subsidies for fuel and power should generally be
withdrawn fairly soon in view of the great importance of saving
fuel.
An essential requirement for the protection of the old sector is
that it should be limited in scope and in time. One has to find a
middle way between the policy of closing down a whole industry
practically overnight and the perpetuation of obsolete structures
without end. An old industry should never be protected against the
competition of newly emerging facilities within the country. The
time limit for the protection should not only be roughly defined
but it should also be perfectly clearly known to the people
concerned - the managers and workers of the old industry.
One method - although a rather rigid one - is to set up a definite
time schedule for the termination of the protection which would be
individualised according to industries. This requires, of course,
- horribile dictu - an industrial policy. In other words, it is