3
this line of research. Moreover, it would rather seem to
carry coals to Newcastle if one entered a field in which so
many people have tried their ingenuity. The chances of
finding still another variant of the same ideas can only
get smaller and smaller.
Let me pass now to another type of contribution.
Guger and Walterskirchen have dealt directly withthe post-war
history of employment. They have, first of all,stressed the
importance of monetary policy, both in Keynes's thinking
and in the troubles of our times. ( As to the latter I might
mention that the abondonment of cheap money policy practised
under the influence of Keynes during the war came already
very early , around 195o, in Britain and in U.S., helped by
the experience of inflation ).
It is not irrelevant to theoretical discussions on interest
that that they depend much on institutions which are different
according to place and time. In the time after the General
Theory the prevailing view in England was that the influence
of interest on investment was very small in general. This
view was supported by interviews with business men
( Hitch and Hall in Oxford ). The economists view on the
insubstantial role of interest in investment decisions
( excepting housing and power stations ) was based on the
argument that only long term interest was relevant for
fixed investment, and this varied only within narrow limits
over a short period. This does not contradict Keynes's hopes
that over a longer period the rate might be altered substantially.
The situation has never been quite the same on the continent
always been
where industrial investment has/financed to a large extent
by bank credits with practically variable interest.
In our time the changes in the long term interest are substantial
and take effect more quickly than formerly.
What m