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3.A further new element in our situation is the vast increase
in public spending and tax revenue as a p.c. of G D P
which in most industrial countries now ranges between
40 and 50 p.c. This increase has probably been a major
reason for the political backlash against the welfare state.
Herbert Stein states in his book The fiscal revolution in
America that the fear of increased taxation is the main
reason for business oppostion against budget deficits
and against Keynesian policieis^ The increased taxation
reduced the incentive for enterprise and for work.
As far as the incentive to invest was concerned it was
to be stimulated by tax allowances. Bxx&skxiaxaixHH
akxlsaxi; Profit taxes have been reduced in the course of time
putting more weight on indirect taxes, and taxes on mass income
This tended to give the budgets an inflationary bias.
r~The aTTitude of business to taxation is clear. It must be
realised,however,that high marginal taxation has two very
contradictory aspects from the point of view of business:
On the one hand there is the automatic stabilisation which
means that any adverse influence coming for example from
exports hits profits less to the extent to which it is
cushioned off by the budget. This applies also to the
effects of a fall in private investment.
On the other hand there is the weakening of incentive.
One aspect of it is - the mirror image of the above case-
that any increase in business investment will be fed back
only to a small extent into profits: that means that
the automatic self perpetuation of a boom is drastically
weakened.