2
But in reality the innovations which mark the long run change
are themselves determined or influenced by the preceding
economic process. This is so because new know-how can not
develop in abstract space but only in close association with
the process of production and investment (learning by doing).
It is a joint product of the actual economic process. By this
earthbound character of technological evolution (which also
applies to the scientific evolution which is as much a product
as a source of the former) it is closely related to accumulation
which it brings about as well as being brought about by it.
How can we separate out what is exogenous from the technological
development (evolution of know-how)? This is difficult because
the know-how is always bound up with accumulation, output
and productivity, and seems to be measureable only in this
form. What then shall we put on the right hand side of the
differential equation? It can not be the innovation, a full
grown result of a stage of evolution. But if we try to go back
to earlier stages in the development of the know-how (invention?
research results?) we shall get no further because we can hardly
quantify it.
In a non-committal way we can represent the exogenous element
simply as a random shock. (This I did in my paper on Concepts
and Ideas of Growth). But this looks rather like an evasive