J.Steindl
/
Comment on the paper by Prof H.Kurz: Accumulation,Distribution
and the Keynesian Hypothesis.
As a Keynesian I have to comment on the criticism directed
against the "neo-Keynesian" view from the classical
point of view.
H.Kurz argues that "in the long run" saving is adjusted to
investment by means of an increase of capacity which makes
it possible to increase output and therefore saving '( p.34).
On my reading this presupposes that investment, by creating
capacity and therefore facilitating greater output, will
finance itself. But it seems to be completely overlooked
that the capacity effect appears only with a considerable
lag after the investment while the saving to finance it
must come simultaneously. The fundamental misconception
comes out clearly when Kurz speaks of a ." reciprocal
1
adjustment of capacity and aggregate demand" (p 28 ). The
"efforts on the part of producers to adjust the capital stock
to (expected) demand" ( p.27^8), far from leading to a
" long period position of the economy which acts as a centre
of gravitation" (p.28), produces violent instability indeed!
The expansionary effect of the investment will raise demand
very quickly while the capacity effect is still far ahead.
A high degree of utilisation will not be brought down by
investing more, it will be made even higher!
At the back of Prof.Kurz 1 s arguments is not only a neglect
of the essential lags, but also a curious philosophical
argument about"circular reasoning" (p.31). Investment in the
long run is not independent of profits, therefore the
determination of profits byinvestment is supposed to be
circular reasoning. The hen and the egg. Evidently a
difference equation, with the proper lags, will make it
possible to explain both that the hen lays the eggs
and that the eggs become chicken .
The apparent belief in "basic reasons" or "Last causes"
which is underlying the arguments of Prof. Kurz
seems to play a decisive role in the whole conception of