2
The alternative interpretation of aging is social. With
the evolution of capitalism it is seen to pass from its
competitive to its monopolistic (and imperialistic) phase.
The pioneers of this outlook have been
Hilferding ( 1910 ) and Luxemburg (1913) by their
affirmation of the existence of a new phase of capitalism,
characterised by monopoly elements and by imperialism.
The elaboration of a theory of stagnation on this basis
has been possible only after Kalecki and Keynes had
provided the analytical tools in the form of a consistent
theory of effective demand.
The third inspiration of stagnation may be called dogmatic.
It was the conviction of Karl Marx that all class systems
sooner or later must decay and die on account of inner
contradictions. Actually the approach just described
which is based on monopoly capitalism might be regarded
as filling in this Marxian program with a concrete and
consistent theory. For Marx himself it was not possible
to develop such a theory because he did not anticipate
the stage of monopoly capitalism.
Instead of it we find in Marx quite a different theory
which in fact does not fit into the above program
of decay arising from inner social contradictions at all:
It is the theory of the declining rate of profit, based
on nothing but a supposed technological law ( increasing
organic composition of capital ) which acts from the
outside, as it were like a deus ex machina, on the
develoment of capitalist society. This is, in spite of
its authorship, a very un-Marxian theory.