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income. (It should immediately be noted that this ruling
profit margin will be different for different size classes
of firms.)
We now turn to the relation of capital intensity and productivity.
It can be shown that the growth rate of the capital-output
ratio equals the growth rate of capital per man minus the growth
rate of output per man. On p. 33 I used somewhat different
concepts: Instead of capital per man I used the capital-cost
ratio, and instead of output per man the sales-cost ratio. If
we take the wage as constant, the analysis of p. 33 will come
to the same as the present analysis, but it should be noted
that in fact real wages can differ between firms (e.g. of
different sizes), and especially over time.
In the light of the engineering data it seems that the growth
in productivity will outweigh the growth of capital intensity
over a wide range of output: In consequence the capital-output
ratio will decline over this range. This is indeed apparently
the course of much of the technical progress. It might be
that beyond a point the relation will be reversed, the capital
growth will outweigh the productivity growth, so that the
capital-output ratio will increase; there will be diminishing
marginal returns to capital which on p. 33 I still regarded
as plausible. Today I doubt whether the range of diminishing
returns of capital-intensification is actually entered in
the ordinary course of events; such techniques are perhaps not