the capital gains undoubtedly play a substantial role, while the direct share
holding may not have so much influence on consumption in view of the great
concentration of the ownership of shares in households. The pension funds hold
investments mainly shares in order to secure the servicing of the future pension
claims; they are in addition fed by contributions from the employer. These
contributions have to be stopped as soon as the investment portefeuille has
reached a value whichO guarantees the safety of the pension claims. Growth of
the investment portefeuille comes about partly by successful speculation in
which the fund managers are experts.
The national accounts include the employers contribution in the disposable
income of the employees ( Account 1 ). Again, the capital gains realised by the
pension funds are included in the capital gains of the households, because the
pension funds are regarded as part of the households. If there are large
realised capital gains as in the middle of the eighties the disposable incomes
of employees will be reduced by the reduction in contributions but this will be
offset in part at least by the large realised capital gains. Consequently the
NIPA measure of saving will be reduced by the full amount of the cut in
contributions, but the saving gross of capital gains will be reduced much less
if at all. To the apparent and not in any common sense meaning real reduction in
household saving corresponds a prima facie saving of the corporation by the
amount of the cut in contributions. What happens with that - whether it goes
into dividends, is passed on to the employee in form of higher wages, or is
retained as corporate saving is difficult to say, so that the apparent reduction
in household saving may or may not be offset ,fully or partly, by an increase in
corporate saving. It should be noted, however, that the corporations also
receive capital gains and may use them to finance dividend payments or
investment in real capital which means that there will be a corresponding
apparent and not real reduction in corporate saving.