4
3) The reasons why this prosperity period came to an end and
gave way to slower growth, great Unemployment and a lot of
subsidiary problems such as indebtedness.
Maturity
With re .gard to the first of these proble^m I want to deal
with two questions which arise from my treatment of the
accumulation process in U.S.
1)1 took the view that the great depression 1929-1939 did
not come as suddenly, from a historical perspective, as it
seemed at the time, but that a decline in the rate of
accumulation -the rate of growth of capital - had in fact
begun a long time ago. From what data we have ( they are
still the Kuznets data, and they have not radically changed
since ) it appears that the accumulation reached a high in
the 1880s and declined afterwards. A decline is also shown
in the growth rates of the G N P.
Now the first reaction to this observation might well be this:
The decline should not occasion any great surprise or
constitute a problem, since the growtE a o? population and of
the labour force has also declined..It should be regarded as
only natural that the national product and also the cppital
stock would move roughly parallel to the labour force.
Befoigwe settle, however, on this ’’supply determined"
explanation, we should consider that the accumulation process
consisted largely in an enormous shift of labour from
agriculture to industry, and also from rural to urban settlements
In fact, the growth rate of the non-agricultural labour force
might be used as a primitive measure of accumulation,
for the early periods.